I’ll believe it when I actually see it

Official portrait of United States Secretary o...

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Check out this statement from Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner:

You’ve seen very, very dramatic enforcement actions already by the enforcement authorities across the U.S. government, and I’m sure you’re going to see more to come. You should stay tuned for that.

My first reaction is to ask for specifics on the “very, very dramatic” enforcement that has already occurred. Is he referring to a better-late-then-never prosecution of Bernie Madoff? A one-off prosecution of a mid-level Goldman employee? Did I miss something else?

Second, I promise to “stay tuned” but all I see right now is a test pattern on the screen.

Arrogant quote of the day

Who do you think pays the taxes? Financial services are one of the last things we do in this country and do it well. Let’s embrace it. If you want to keep having jobs outsourced, keep attacking financial services. This is just disgruntled people.

– an unnamed longtime money manager, complaining about the Occupy Wall Street protestors. How can anyone involved in money management claim that our banking industry performs well, while we are still in the midst of a financial collapse caused directly by the financial sector taking unacceptable levels of risk? The arrogance, coupled with incompetence, is stunning.

The super-rich run scared

The super-rich (and their GOP supporters) appear to be running scared, given their shrill name-calling of the Occupy Wall Street protesters.  Paul Krugman explains the panic:

The way to understand all of this is to realize that it’s part of a broader syndrome, in which wealthy Americans who benefit hugely from a system rigged in their favor react with hysteria to anyone who points out just how rigged the system is.

Last year, you may recall, a number of financial-industry barons went wild over very mild criticism from President Obama. They denounced Mr. Obama as being almost a socialist for endorsing the so-called Volcker rule, which would simply prohibit banks backed by federal guarantees from engaging in risky speculation. And as for their reaction to proposals to close a loophole that lets some of them pay remarkably low taxes — well, Stephen Schwarzman, chairman of the Blackstone Group, compared it to Hitler’s invasion of Poland.

And then there’s the campaign of character assassination against Elizabeth Warren, the financial reformer now running for the Senate in Massachusetts. Not long ago a YouTube video of Ms. Warren making an eloquent, down-to-earth case for taxes on the rich went viral. Nothing about what she said was radical — it was no more than a modern riff on Oliver Wendell Holmes’s famous dictum that “Taxes are what we pay for civilized society.”

But listening to the reliable defenders of the wealthy, you’d think that Ms. Warren was the second coming of Leon Trotsky. George Will declared that she has a “collectivist agenda,” that she believes that “individualism is a chimera.” And Rush Limbaugh called her “a parasite who hates her host. Willing to destroy the host while she sucks the life out of it.”

What’s going on here? The answer, surely, is that Wall Street’s Masters of the Universe realize, deep down, how morally indefensible their position is.

Frankly, Scarlett, I don’t give a damn (updated)

When was the last time you saw a major American corporation issue an official press release like this?

Either Mr. Lynch has a very poor memory or he’s lying.

Update: And now I am informed in the comments that Oracle has posted a follow-up. Terrific and now you can view Autonomy’s PowerPoint slides from the pitch meeting.

I am sure it is accurate. I wonder how many lawyers looked at this and, through an abundance of caution, warned against it? I am in awe of Larry Ellison and his apparent willingness to speak the truth directly.

And I think that this sort of press release is interesting, right now, because of how many major technology, media and retail companies are finding themselves at loggerheads with others, often in complicated ways. The disputes among companies now is not simply driven by the normal competitive environment, but rather by a large chess game on multiple levels, with literally billions at stake.  Change is in the air (and in the cash register with the iPad/iPhone juggernaut) and the field is open for those with the guts to make big plays and carry them off. Alliances are ripe for creation and long-standing teams are at risk of destruction.  Billions will be made and lost in the next year or two, from Wall Street to Hollywood to Silicon Valley to unnamed locales yet to be identified.

All of this is a result of rapid technological change (primarily driven by mobile device advances, social media and faster, broader Internet media streaming) and by fundamental realignments of profit opportunities brought on by the great recession.  When banks don’t make money, but instead lose money in the billions, and when real estate collapses around the world and when China becomes by far the fastest growing economy, big money begins to reevaluate its opportunities. Bets are being placed on a grand scale by investment decisions and even more importantly by the decisions being made by the biggest enterprises of the day.  There are multiple land rushes going on at the same time.

Perhaps this is all good news for the long run economy.

(via Daring Fireball)

Only an expert

Laurie Anderson explains the (non-)solution to our problems: only an expert can do it. This is one song that addresses Oprah, Iraq, torture, and Wall Street financial crimes, while being kick-ass msuically.  The version below is live, but the version on the album, Homeland, is even more terrific.

The studio version is available on iTunes for those who like her work.

An economy in crisis

Our economy desperately needs help.

Another 2.6 million people slipped into poverty in the United States last year, the Census Bureau reported Tuesday, and the number of Americans living below the official poverty line, 46.2 million people, was the highest number in the 52 years the bureau has been publishing figures on it.

And in new signs of distress among the middle class, median household incomes fell last year to levels last seen in 1997.

9/11 was only the beginning

Everything has gotten worse since 9/11, as reported by the best news source in the country. Excerpt:

As media coverage of the 10th anniversary of 9/11 ramps up this week, citizens across the United States collectively realized they would rather think about the terrorist attacks of 2001 than about anything else that has transpired in the subsequent decade.

Economics quote of the day 2

IMF MD Press Conference 8

Christine Lagarde, Image by International Monetary Fund via Flickr

So policy makers, particularly in the monetary sphere, should stand ready as needed to take more action to support the recovery, including through unconventional measures. Broadly speaking [monetary policy] should remain highly accommodative because the risk of recession outweighs the risk of inflation.

Christine Lagarde, managing director of the International Monetary Fund.

Economics quote of the day

Imagine that inflation was running at 5 percent against our inflation objective of 2 percent. Is there a doubt that any central banker worth their salt would be reacting strongly to fight this high inflation rate? No, there isn’t any doubt. They would be acting as if their hair was on fire. We should be similarly energized about improving conditions in the labor market.

– Charles Evans, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, arguing for substantial central bank action to reduce unemployment, as quoted by Paul Krugman.

The declining American middle class

The size of the middle class in America has been one of this country’s greatest strengths. It demonstrated that economic success was available for many, it provided political stability and minimized unwarranted attacks on the “rich”, and wealth and opportunity was widely shared.

Notice that everything I wrote in the prior paragraph was written in the past tense. Why? Because, the middle class isn’t what it used to be and in fact is suffering more and more all the time. Pointing this out isn’t class warfare, it is identify a source of anxiety among many in the is country. There is fear among the middle class for their own economic survival and for the future awaiting their children. And some are afraid of possible negative impacts on political stability in this country, including fears of (armed) class warfare.

The fact is that the middle class, since 1979, has shared in the benefits of increased productivity less and less, while the top executives and managers have taken an ever larger share of economic growth.  Check out this chart from The New York Times. Here is part of Robert Reich’s accompanying article, which is worth a full read:

Look back over the last hundred years and you’ll see the pattern. During periods when the very rich took home a much smaller proportion of total income — as in the Great Prosperity between 1947 and 1977 — the nation as a whole grew faster and median wages surged. We created a virtuous cycle in which an ever growing middle class had the ability to consume more goods and services, which created more and better jobs, thereby stoking demand. The rising tide did in fact lift all boats.

During periods when the very rich took home a larger proportion — as between 1918 and 1933, and in the Great Regression from 1981 to the present day — growth slowed, median wages stagnated and we suffered giant downturns. It’s no mere coincidence that over the last century the top earners’ share of the nation’s total income peaked in 1928 and 2007 — the two years just preceding the biggest downturns.

Starting in the late 1970s, the middle class began to weaken. Although productivity continued to grow and the economy continued to expand, wages began flattening in the 1970s because new technologies — container ships, satellite communications, eventually computers and the Internet — started to undermine any American job that could be automated or done more cheaply abroad. The same technologies bestowed ever larger rewards on people who could use them to innovate and solve problems. Some were product entrepreneurs; a growing number were financial entrepreneurs. The pay of graduates of prestigious colleges and M.B.A. programs — the “talent” who reached the pinnacles of power in executive suites and on Wall Street — soared.

We have to restore some semblance of equal economic opportunity and equitable sharing of income in order to return America to greatness and balance.

Stimulus now

The employment numbers for August were released a few minutes ago. The results: no new jobs created in the month, and unemployment still at 9.1%.

If anyone doubts that we need another stimulus program to kick-start the economy (or even to stop a fall into a second recession), the doubts should now be dispelled. The last thing a weakening economy needs is budget cutting and austerity. With interest rates on US borrowing at very low levels, a stimulus program need not cost too much. Let’s focus on reducing the deficit by actions triggered as jobs are created and unemployment is reduced. Otherwise, we risk losing an entire generation of poverty and distress.

This is an emergency no less real than Irene or a major earthquake.